Will the gold price achieve a weekly, monthly, and quarterly all-time high? That’s where it’s headed right now, and gold holders have a lot to celebrate – yet, the divergence between physical gold and the mining shares may seem baffling and frustrating.
As always, asset prices aren’t adhering to anyone’s preferred timetable. Gold and mining stocks will have their moon-shot moments when the market is ready to make it happen. And, as long as you’re in the trade when it happens, you’ll get to participate in the rally.
That’s why I recommend “time in the market” rather than “timing the market.” Right now, gold is giving you one last chance to get on board before the real rally begins.
You’ll know that the real rally hasn’t started yet because the mainstream media isn’t talking about gold. Even while gold pushes fresh highs and breaks above $2,200, the pundits are too busy talking about AI and Bitcoin to care.
After all, AI and Bitcoin are relatively new and, ironically enough, they’re viewed as the shiny objects of the market when gold is an actual, tangible, and valuable shiny object. Because gold has so much history behind it – which is really a good thing, if you think about it – the media doesn’t see it as a “sexy” story.
However, forward-thinking investors shouldn’t need a “sexy” story. The real story is that gold is no longer selling off on news of persistently high inflation. The most recent monthly Consumer Price Index report showed that inflation is higher than expected, and last year, this would have stoked selling activity in gold.
Now, however, gold is rallying in the face of higher-than-expected inflation. At long last, commodities investors are confident that higher-for-longer inflation is here to stay and the Federal Reserve isn’t going to defeat it anytime soon.

As you would expect, the media can’t see the forest for the trees. Gold’s recent run-up is part of a hugely bullish big picture, but they’d have to pull back the chart to appreciate the implications of this move.
The chart shown above tells you just how much your wealth would have increased simply by holding gold since the year 2000. It also visually conveys the importance of the gold-price breakout that’s happening now.
This, however, begs the question of why gold-mining stocks are lagging behind the gold price. If resource stocks offer leverage to the gold price, shouldn’t they be heading to the moon by now?
Again, the market has a mind of its own and will adhere to its own timetable, not what we want to happen or what makes the most sense. Instead of feeling frustrated about this, which is perfectly natural, you can view this as a gift from the market gods.
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Remember, just as high inflation hurts you as a consumer of goods and services, it’s also a headwind for businesses, including resource companies. For the past couple of years, gold exploration and production companies have had to deal with higher labor costs and equipment/supply prices, all due to sticky inflation.
The market is highly efficient and knows what gold miners are dealing with. Yet, commodities investors also see the gold price breaking out. Before gold-mining stocks can play catch-up, the commodities market wants assurance that the gold-price rally is “real.”

They’re also waiting for confirmation that the Fed is finished with interest-rate hikes. This chart shows exactly what happens to gold-mining shares after the last hike of a rate-hiking cycle – and the current rally hasn’t even started yet.
Again, this is a gift. Maybe you haven’t started a position in gold-mining shares yet, or you at least have room to expand your position. Once the big move to the upside gets underway, you might do what a lot of investors do: get that “deer in headlights” feeling and hesitate because you’ll feel like you missed your chance.
At this moment, though, you haven’t missed your chance. China’s central bank and other major central banks are hoarding gold like there’s no tomorrow. When the gold price catches a huge wave of momentum, the market will have its confirmation and the share-price rallies will be fast and furious.
Then, if you’re not already positioned for profits, you’ll pray for another chance to buy gold at $2,200 and gold stocks when they were cheaper. The future hasn’t been written yet, so don’t just keep your “eyes on the prize” as only action will bring you life-changing wealth.
Kenneth Ameduri
Chief Editor, CrushTheStreet.com
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