Despite the late-season heads up and short-lived summer rally, there was an opportunity to trade the seasonal rally off a price pivot after publishing (Twitter thread) the “Gold and Silver Outlook for Summer 2022 – Part 2” on July 18. The predominant factor...
In a “Dollar Rally Induced Liquidity Crisis and a Late September Warning,” published (Twitter thread) on Sep. 10, concerns about the Sep. 24 time frame began to manifest on Sep. 17 when Russia raised concerns about long-range missiles being transferred into Ukraine by...
The recession that’s taking hold in the U.S. and Europe is deepening amid a likely escalation of NATO’s proxy war (Twitter thread) with Russia in Ukraine. A sanction-induced energy shortage and subsequent liquidity crisis spawned by a strengthening dollar that the...
Since penning Part 1 and 2 (Twitter thread) in early April on the risk of recession this year, the chances of a hard landing vs. the Fed’s sanguine soft-landing narrative morphed into “we have a good chance of a softish landing” when Jay Powell delivered the FOMC’s...
I did not anticipate an addition to Part 1 so quickly, which covered plunging consumer sentiment, declining consumption, scarcity inflation, and waning GDP. Unfortunately, recession signals are popping up so fast and furious that it’s best to ink them before they...